Copa Verde Last 16
Global 5-2
Luverdense vs Corumbaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MIX
0 - 1
LUV
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
LUV
1 - 3
CUI
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
COR
0 - 2
LUV
25%
25%
51%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
POC
2 - 4
LUV
10%
16%
74%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
LUV
4 - 0
ACA
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Corumbaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
OAC
0 - 5
COR
6%
15%
79%
|
51 | 8 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 0
COR
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
AGU
3 - 0
COR
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
ASA
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
COR
0 - 1
7DE
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |