Copa Verde Last 16
Global 9-4
Luverdense vs Uniao ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
LUV
1 - 3
PAY
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LUV
0 - 1
YPI
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 3
LUV
9%
16%
75%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
BOA
0 - 0
LUV
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
VOL
2 - 1
LUV
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 3
LUV
9%
16%
75%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
GAL
1 - 3
ABC
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 0
GAL
28%
21%
51%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 3
OPE
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
AQU
2 - 0
ABC
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |