Luverdense vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 0
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CRB
2 - 0
LUV
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 1
LUV
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 1
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
LUV
4 - 0
TRE
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 3
AGU
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAR
76%
17%
7%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 6
CUI
25%
27%
48%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SAM
4 - 1
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 2
TRE
35%
29%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |