Luverdense vs Araguaia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
DBO
1 - 2
LUV
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
LUV
3 - 0
CEC
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
CEC
0 - 0
LUV
16%
26%
59%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
LUV
3 - 1
DBO
45%
23%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AAC
0 - 0
LUV
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Araguaia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AAC
4 - 1
CEC
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AAC
2 - 0
DBO
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DBO
1 - 1
AAC
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
CEC
1 - 0
AAC
26%
24%
49%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AAC
0 - 0
LUV
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |