Luverdense vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 2
LUV
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LUV
0 - 1
RIO
41%
25%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PAY
1 - 0
LUV
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LUV
1 - 1
PAY
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 3
LUV
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 1
ARA
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
AGU
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 1
PAY
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 0
RIO
23%
24%
52%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
PAY
2 - 1
AGU
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |