Luton Town vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 1
LUT
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
LUT
2 - 0
WRE
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FLE
0 - 2
LUT
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
GAT
0 - 0
LUT
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LUT
1 - 0
KID
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 2
YOR
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 1
YOR
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
YOR
1 - 1
MAN
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
YOR
1 - 0
FOR
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 1
YOR
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |