National League Playoff Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Luton Town vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
YOR
1 - 0
LUT
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
RUS
1 - 1
LUT
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LUT
0 - 0
ALT
74%
17%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
LUT
6 - 3
HIS
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TAM
1 - 1
LUT
27%
28%
46%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
YOR
1 - 0
LUT
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
STE
1 - 0
YOR
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
YOR
1 - 1
GRA
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
YOR
3 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
EAS
3 - 1
YOR
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |