FA Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Luton Town vs West Ham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
LUT
1 - 1
BIR
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1994 |
WHU
0 - 0
LUT
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1994 |
LUT
1 - 1
MID
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1994 |
NTT
2 - 0
LUT
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1994 |
LUT
2 - 1
SUN
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
WHU
2 - 4
NEW
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1994 |
WHU
0 - 0
LUT
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1994 |
SWI
1 - 1
WHU
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1994 |
WHU
2 - 2
MUD
21%
26%
53%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1994 |
KID
0 - 1
WHU
10%
22%
68%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |