Luton Town vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
47%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
WYC
1 - 3
LUT
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
LUT
1 - 2
BAR
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
DER
2 - 0
LUT
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
PNE
0 - 1
LUT
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
LUT
2 - 0
COV
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
WAT
2 - 0
REA
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
MID
1 - 1
WAT
22%
28%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 0
SHW
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
WAT
3 - 0
BIR
80%
15%
5%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
ROT
1 - 4
WAT
24%
27%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |