Luton Town vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1982 |
EVE
5 - 0
LUT
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
LUT
3 - 1
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
SWA
2 - 0
LUT
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1982 |
TOT
1 - 0
LUT
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
LUT
3 - 3
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1982 |
WAT
2 - 1
IPS
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
LIV
3 - 1
WAT
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
WAT
0 - 1
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
ARS
2 - 4
WAT
62%
22%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
WAT
4 - 1
BHA
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |