EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-5
Luton Town vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
66.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
LUT
2 - 3
SWI
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
SUN
3 - 0
LUT
78%
15%
6%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
SWA
4 - 0
LUT
49%
28%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
LUT
0 - 0
WAL
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
LUT
0 - 2
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
LIV
1 - 1
SUN
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
SUN
3 - 0
LUT
78%
15%
6%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
SUN
2 - 1
DER
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
MUD
3 - 0
SUN
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
SUN
1 - 1
WHU
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |