Luton Town vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 2
LUT
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
GRI
4 - 1
LUT
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LUT
0 - 0
WRE
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ALF
3 - 0
LUT
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
LUT
3 - 2
CAM
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 1
STO
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
SOU
49%
25%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 0
EBB
53%
21%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
KID
2 - 2
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
GAT
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |