Luton Town vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CRY
1 - 2
LUT
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
DON
3 - 3
LUT
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
LUT
4 - 2
BRE
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
WRE
1 - 2
LUT
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
LUT
1 - 0
MKD
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
SOU
0 - 0
WOL
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 2
MUD
19%
25%
56%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
CRY
2 - 2
SOU
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
SOU
4 - 3
NOR
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
OPA
4 - 1
SOU
48%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |