Luton Town vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
WIM
4 - 0
LUT
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1988 |
TOT
0 - 0
LUT
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1988 |
LUT
1 - 1
ASV
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
DER
0 - 1
LUT
36%
29%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
LUT
0 - 0
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
SOU
1 - 4
QPR
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1988 |
SOU
2 - 2
COV
58%
24%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1988 |
NEW
3 - 3
SOU
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
SOU
1 - 1
NTT
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
WIM
2 - 1
SOU
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |