Luton Town vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
LEI
1 - 1
LUT
48%
25%
28%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
MAC
1 - 1
LUT
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
LUT
3 - 2
WAT
53%
23%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
COV
1 - 0
LUT
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
LUT
0 - 1
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
SOU
5 - 1
QPR
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1986 |
TOT
5 - 3
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
EVE
6 - 1
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1986 |
WAT
1 - 1
SOU
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
SOU
2 - 3
SHW
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |