Luton Town vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
COV
4 - 2
LUT
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
SUN
1 - 1
LUT
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
LUT
2 - 2
ARS
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
LUT
0 - 2
NTT
48%
24%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
WBA
1 - 0
LUT
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
SOU
0 - 1
IPS
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
SOU
1 - 1
NTT
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
MAC
2 - 0
SOU
53%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
SOU
3 - 2
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
SWA
3 - 2
SOU
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |