Luton Town vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
LUT
8 - 0
HAY
68%
19%
12%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
EBB
1 - 6
LUT
26%
28%
47%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
LUT
3 - 1
KID
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
LUT
1 - 0
WRE
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
LUT
2 - 1
FOR
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
KID
0 - 1
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 3
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAL
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
CAM
3 - 1
SAL
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SAL
0 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |