FA Cup 1/16
Global 2-3
Luton Town vs Queens Park Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1987 |
LUT
3 - 0
LIV
38%
29%
33%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1987 |
LIV
0 - 0
LUT
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1987 |
LUT
1 - 0
LEI
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
LUT
0 - 0
LIV
38%
29%
33%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1987 |
LUT
1 - 0
CHL
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1987 |
QPR
2 - 1
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1987 |
QPR
5 - 2
LEI
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1987 |
QPR
0 - 1
EVE
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1987 |
CHL
3 - 1
QPR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1986 |
OXF
0 - 1
QPR
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |