Luton Town vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
BUR
1 - 1
LUT
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
LUT
0 - 1
WBA
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
BIR
3 - 0
LUT
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1956 |
LUT
2 - 0
SHW
52%
21%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
NEW
2 - 2
LUT
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
PNE
6 - 0
SUN
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
LEE
1 - 2
PNE
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
PNE
2 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1956 |
BPO
4 - 0
PNE
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
PNE
0 - 0
EVE
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |