Luton Town vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 1
LUT
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
LUT
4 - 0
POS
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
LUT
0 - 1
SHW
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SUN
1 - 1
LUT
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
SHW
0 - 0
LUT
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
OPA
1 - 1
QPR
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
OPA
1 - 0
POS
48%
23%
29%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
OXF
2 - 1
OPA
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
OPA
0 - 1
BPO
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 2
OPA
23%
23%
55%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |