Luton Town vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
NOR
3 - 0
LUT
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
CRE
0 - 1
LUT
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
LUT
1 - 1
WIG
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
OLD
1 - 2
LUT
54%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
LUT
2 - 1
CHE
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
POR
0 - 0
QPR
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
CHE
0 - 1
POR
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
POR
1 - 2
CRE
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
BRE
1 - 1
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
POR
1 - 1
OLD
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |