Luton Town vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
LUT
4 - 2
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
CRE
3 - 1
LUT
28%
25%
48%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 2
LUT
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
LUT
3 - 0
PNE
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
LUT
2 - 2
SHW
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
QPR
1 - 1
PLY
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
PLY
1 - 1
SHW
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
PLY
2 - 1
STO
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
SHE
2 - 0
PLY
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SOU
0 - 0
PLY
76%
17%
8%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |