EFL Cup 1/64
Global 2-2
Luton Town vs Peterborough United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
WIG
2 - 1
LUT
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
LUT
0 - 1
NOT
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
LUT
1 - 1
OLD
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
WYC
0 - 1
LUT
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
LUT
1 - 1
WIG
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
POS
2 - 2
BRO
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
OXF
0 - 1
POS
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
CHE
0 - 1
POS
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
POS
0 - 2
GUL
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
BHA
0 - 0
POS
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |