Luton Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
GIL
0 - 1
LUT
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
LUT
2 - 0
PLY
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
LUT
1 - 3
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
LUT
0 - 1
HUR
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
DON
2 - 0
LUT
64%
22%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
NOT
0 - 0
DAR
28%
29%
43%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 0
DON
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 1
NOT
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 1
NOT
66%
20%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 0
WYC
23%
27%
50%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |