Luton Town vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 0
LUT
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
POS
1 - 1
LUT
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LUT
2 - 2
MIL
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
HUL
1 - 3
LUT
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
LUT
4 - 0
PNE
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NTT
2 - 0
BIR
66%
22%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
NTT
2 - 0
COV
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BPO
1 - 4
NTT
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
NTT
0 - 1
LIV
4%
12%
85%
|
77 | 95 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
NTT
3 - 1
QPR
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |