Luton Town vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
47.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
OLD
5 - 1
LUT
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
LUT
2 - 1
WIM
32%
30%
38%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
SOU
2 - 1
LUT
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1992 |
EVE
1 - 1
LUT
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1992 |
LUT
0 - 0
TOT
31%
30%
40%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
MUD
1 - 0
NTT
56%
25%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
SOU
0 - 1
NTT
38%
27%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
NTT
0 - 2
SHW
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1992 |
WIM
3 - 0
NTT
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1992 |
ARS
3 - 3
NTT
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |