Luton Town vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LUT
1 - 2
FLE
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
GRI
0 - 1
LUT
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
LUT
0 - 1
WRE
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LUT
5 - 1
GAT
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
EBB
2 - 2
LUT
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GIL
4 - 3
NOR
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
ROT
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 3
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
POR
3 - 0
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |