Luton Town vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 2
LUT
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
OXF
2 - 3
LUT
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 0
DAG
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LUT
0 - 2
STA
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LUT
0 - 1
STE
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 1
OXF
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
STE
2 - 1
NEW
45%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAM
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
YEO
1 - 0
NEW
47%
27%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 2
STA
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |