FA Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
Luton Town vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1994 |
LUT
3 - 0
OXF
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1994 |
NEW
1 - 1
LUT
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
LUT
2 - 1
DER
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1994 |
LUT
1 - 0
SOU
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
NOT
1 - 2
LUT
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1994 |
NEW
1 - 1
LUT
82%
12%
6%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
NEW
1 - 2
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1994 |
QPR
1 - 2
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1994 |
NEW
2 - 0
COV
67%
18%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1994 |
NOR
1 - 2
NEW
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |