Luton Town vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1988 |
LUT
3 - 1
MAC
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1988 |
NOR
2 - 2
LUT
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1988 |
LUT
4 - 1
WHU
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1988 |
COV
1 - 0
LUT
48%
27%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
MIL
3 - 1
LUT
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
NEW
0 - 0
MUD
33%
28%
40%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1988 |
MIL
4 - 0
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1988 |
NEW
0 - 1
ARS
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
QPR
3 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
NEW
0 - 1
NTT
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |