Luton Town vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
LUT
2 - 1
MAC
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
WAT
1 - 2
LUT
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1985 |
LUT
0 - 1
COV
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
TOT
1 - 3
LUT
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
LUT
2 - 0
BIR
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
NEW
2 - 1
LEI
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
MAC
1 - 0
NEW
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1985 |
NEW
1 - 3
CHL
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
BIR
0 - 1
NEW
41%
27%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
NEW
1 - 1
WAT
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |