Luton Town vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
LUT
1 - 0
COL
36%
24%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
WYC
0 - 0
LUT
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
LUT
3 - 1
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
LUT
3 - 3
BOU
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
SOU
3 - 1
LUT
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 0
DAR
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 0
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 3
CHE
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
BOU
0 - 0
MOR
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 1
EXE
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |