Luton Town vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 3
LUT
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 0
LUT
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 1
MAN
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LEY
1 - 2
LUT
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 1
CRE
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 0
SOU
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
OXF
1 - 2
MIL
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 1
FLE
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
MIL
0 - 2
BOL
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 3
MIL
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |