Luton Town vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 3
LUT
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
LUT
0 - 0
REA
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
LUT
1 - 0
WAT
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
WYC
1 - 3
LUT
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
LUT
1 - 2
BAR
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MID
3 - 1
SHW
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ROT
1 - 2
MID
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MID
1 - 2
QPR
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
MID
52%
25%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
MID
1 - 1
WAT
22%
28%
50%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |