Luton Town vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LUT
1 - 5
NOR
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
LUT
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 7
LUT
6%
14%
80%
|
71 | 32 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
BED
1 - 2
LUT
5%
14%
81%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
WEL
1 - 3
LUT
2%
6%
92%
|
71 | 20 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
MID
1 - 1
ASS
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 3
MID
19%
22%
59%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
HEI
5 - 1
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
HAR
0 - 4
MID
10%
18%
73%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
GAT
1 - 3
MID
9%
17%
74%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |