Luton Town vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
38.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1956 |
WBA
3 - 1
LUT
59%
20%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
LUT
0 - 1
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1956 |
NEW
4 - 0
LUT
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
LUT
2 - 2
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1955 |
LUT
2 - 1
SHE
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1956 |
MUD
2 - 0
BUR
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
PNE
3 - 1
MUD
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 1
SHE
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
MUD
2 - 1
MAC
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1955 |
CHA
3 - 0
MUD
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |