Luton Town vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
BIR
1 - 4
LUT
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
LUT
3 - 0
LEI
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1975 |
LUT
2 - 1
EVE
33%
29%
39%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
TOT
2 - 1
LUT
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
WOL
5 - 2
LUT
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
MAC
1 - 1
IPS
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
MAC
2 - 0
BUR
53%
23%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
CHL
0 - 1
MAC
50%
25%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
DER
2 - 1
MAC
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1975 |
WOL
1 - 0
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |