Luton Town vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1958 |
SHW
2 - 1
LUT
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1958 |
LUT
1 - 3
PNE
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1958 |
BUR
1 - 2
LUT
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1958 |
LUT
7 - 1
SUN
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1958 |
EVE
0 - 2
LUT
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1958 |
MAC
1 - 1
BIR
69%
16%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1958 |
MAC
4 - 3
BPO
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1958 |
LEI
8 - 4
MAC
50%
20%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1958 |
TOT
5 - 1
MAC
62%
18%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1958 |
MAC
4 - 1
WBA
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |