Luton Town vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
WOL
5 - 4
LUT
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
CHA
1 - 2
LUT
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1956 |
LUT
1 - 0
WOL
38%
23%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
LUT
6 - 2
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1956 |
LUT
2 - 3
BUR
50%
23%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
TOT
3 - 2
MAC
54%
21%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 1
ASV
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1956 |
MAC
2 - 2
TOT
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
WOL
5 - 1
MAC
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1956 |
MAC
3 - 1
BIR
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |