Luton Town vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
MUD
1 - 0
LUT
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
LUT
0 - 0
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
TOT
0 - 0
LUT
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
LUT
1 - 0
MAC
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
WHU
2 - 0
LUT
63%
21%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
LIV
4 - 0
OXF
80%
14%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
LIV
0 - 1
TOT
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
WIM
1 - 3
LIV
23%
24%
53%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
LIV
3 - 3
ASV
80%
13%
7%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
SOU
2 - 1
LIV
28%
27%
45%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |