Luton Town vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
LUT
0 - 0
LIV
38%
29%
33%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1987 |
LUT
1 - 0
CHL
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1987 |
COV
0 - 1
LUT
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
NTT
2 - 2
LUT
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1986 |
LUT
0 - 2
WAT
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1987 |
QPR
5 - 2
LEI
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1987 |
LEI
6 - 1
SHW
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1987 |
WHU
4 - 1
LEI
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
EVE
5 - 1
LEI
80%
13%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1986 |
LEI
1 - 1
ARS
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |