Luton Town vs Histon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
LUT
4 - 2
COR
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ALT
0 - 1
LUT
25%
26%
50%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
WRE
1 - 0
LUT
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
COR
1 - 1
LUT
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
LUT
3 - 1
BAT
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
HIS
0 - 1
KID
32%
26%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HIS
1 - 1
WRE
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
HIS
52%
23%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
HIS
3 - 0
ALT
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
HIS
2 - 1
SOU
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |