Luton Town vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2003 |
BHA
2 - 0
LUT
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
LUT
1 - 2
GRI
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
STO
1 - 2
LUT
37%
24%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
LUT
4 - 1
YEO
42%
24%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
LUT
3 - 1
RUS
49%
25%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2003 |
HAR
2 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
BRI
1 - 1
HAR
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
HAR
0 - 0
TRA
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
SHW
2 - 2
HAR
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
POS
3 - 4
HAR
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |