Luton Town vs Ebbsfleet United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
HIS
0 - 2
LUT
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
GAT
0 - 1
LUT
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 0
LUT
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
LUT
4 - 1
EAS
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 1
LUT
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
EBB
4 - 3
FOR
32%
26%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
EBB
1 - 2
KET
24%
27%
49%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
EBB
1 - 2
ALT
34%
28%
39%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 3
EBB
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
HAY
4 - 2
EBB
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |