Luton Town vs Dorchester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 2
LUT
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
LUT
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
NUN
0 - 2
LUT
11%
20%
69%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LUT
0 - 2
DAR
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
LUT
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dorchester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 2
LUT
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 2
DOR
48%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
HAV
4 - 0
DOR
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DID
1 - 2
DOR
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 0
PLY
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |