Luton Town vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
STA
2 - 1
LUT
34%
25%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
OPA
1 - 0
LUT
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
LUT
3 - 1
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
LUT
0 - 1
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BPO
0 - 2
LUT
42%
28%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
CHE
64%
23%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 0
MKD
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
CHE
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 0
CHE
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 0
BOL
33%
26%
42%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |