Luton Town vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1991 |
LUT
1 - 0
ARS
22%
28%
50%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1991 |
LUT
1 - 0
COV
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1991 |
LUT
0 - 2
LEE
29%
29%
42%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1991 |
SHE
1 - 1
LUT
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1991 |
LUT
2 - 2
MAC
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1991 |
NOT
2 - 0
CHL
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1991 |
CHL
4 - 2
OLD
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
CHL
1 - 3
MUD
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1991 |
SHW
3 - 0
CHL
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1991 |
CHL
1 - 0
NTT
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |