Luton Town vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1989 |
LUT
1 - 1
NTT
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
ARS
3 - 2
LUT
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1989 |
SHW
1 - 1
LUT
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1989 |
LUT
0 - 0
TOT
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1989 |
SOU
6 - 3
LUT
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1989 |
CRY
2 - 2
CHL
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
CHL
2 - 5
LIV
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1989 |
QPR
4 - 2
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1989 |
CHL
2 - 5
WIM
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1989 |
MUD
0 - 0
CHL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |