Luton Town vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
CHL
4 - 1
LUT
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
LUT
1 - 1
PNE
46%
23%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
BUR
1 - 1
LUT
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
LUT
0 - 1
WBA
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
BIR
3 - 0
LUT
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
CAR
1 - 0
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
CHA
0 - 2
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAC
45%
22%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
WOL
3 - 1
CAR
82%
12%
7%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1956 |
TOT
5 - 0
CAR
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |