Luton Town vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
4 - 1
LUT
8%
16%
76%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 3
CEL
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
LUT
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GOZ
3 - 2
LUT
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
RYV
0 - 1
LUT
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CAD
1 - 1
BUR
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 0
LEG
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
RYL
2 - 1
BUR
11%
20%
69%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 2
NTT
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TOT
2 - 1
BUR
70%
19%
12%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |